The Bureau of Meteorology is forecasting warmer temperatures for spring, in its 2024 Spring Long-Range Forecast.
The long-range forecast provides guidance on the likelihood that different parts of the country will see conditions that are warmer or cooler, or wetter and drier than average over the next three months.
The long-range forecast shows an increased likelihood of warmer than average temperatures across all states and territories this spring.
Rainfall forecasts are more mixed, with an increased likelihood of above average for large parts of eastern Australia, and more likely below average rainfall for large parts of Western Australia.
The long-range forecast is updated weekly with the forecast accuracy steadily improving as the start of the next month approaches.
The bureau notes that spring is typically a time when southern Australia experiences large swings in weather associated with a passage of cold fronts across the south, as well as more thunderstorm activity as the weather warms.
For updates, go to: www.bom.gov.au
Spring Long-Range Forecast by the bureau
Victoria
Victoria has an increased chance of warmer than usual spring temperatures.
Most of Victoria is likely to have rainfall within the typical range for spring. This follows several very dry months in the west of the state.
There’s a slightly increased chance of above average spring rainfall for a part of the state's south-west.
NSW
Most of NSW and the Australian Capital Territory have increased chances of warmer than usual spring temperatures.
Parts of eastern NSW, including around Sydney, are likely to see temperatures in the typical range for spring.
Most of NSW and the ACT have increased chances of above average spring rainfall.
There’s also an increased chance for unusually high spring rainfall for most of the northern half of the state, extending into some central areas.